Rising Real Estate


It seems while many cities are dealing with home foreclosures, Buffalo’s housing market has been enjoying a steady increase. The home being sold by Jeremy Jacobs Jr. and his wife Alice is a French estate home. The features include his-and-her bathrooms, a wine cellar, a three-car heated garage, a sauna on the third floor, a study, master suite with a sitting room and fireplace, a slate terrace overlooking the English gardens, and did I mention the home is gated? It is only sitting on a half an acre, but with six bedrooms and 6,800 square feet it is no surprise that this home is going for such a high price.
Though this home – excuse me, estate – remains an example of some of the high-quality homes Buffalo produces, the real reason the real estate market in Buffalo has not suffered is that there are many homes that remain incredibly affordable for families looking to move in. With the economy seeming to slowly be regaining lost ground, those homes and failed neighborhoods can be seen growing – albeit slowly.
For a city with a rich architectural history and a retinue of beautiful houses of every style, is anyone surprised that the housing market is one of the few businesses in Buffalo that has not suffered?

In this first in a series, Ellicott Development's Carl Paladino does his best to answer BR's burning questions about life in the City of Buffalo.
Q: What's the best thing that happened to Buffalo in the past 20 years?
A: The sun came up every day. 

Q: What's the worst thing that happened to Buffalo in the past 20 years?
A:Our community collectively failed to recognize that government is meant to serve the people and allowed our 2 party system to put idiots without a clue i …
As long as we are constantly debating the differences between graffiti and tags... and tags and tiles... and tiles and stencils... there is another form of graffiti that exists in Buffalo. It's called wheat paste graffiti - the piece shown here is an example that I found on Allen Street. From what I have gathered, the process of wheat paste became popular when political activists began looking for a way to post political posters. The reason that some people prefer to use this tech …
Outer Harbor development took a nudge forward yesterday. The public now owns a seven acre tract of land north of the Pier restaurant site. With State funding, the Buffalo Brownfield Restoration Corp. purchased the Fuhrman Boulevard property for $423,500 from Cargill. The site is expected to be transferred to the Erie Canal Harbor Development Corporation after an environmental assessment of the site is completed.
The other day a friend of mine sent me a link to a seminar (video) of social critic James Howard Kunstler. During the seminar, Kunstler makes mention of a number of buildings and places that are meant to attract people (not deter them). You would think that the developers of buildings would be able to fathom what is good for a tenant by studying how customers interact with successful structures. Even if there are poor design decisions made in the past, there is no reason that meas … 



Comment Options
RhodeIslandBoy
a property on Nottingham Terrace is being sold for $1.39 million dollars
Welcome to another edition of RhodeIslandBoy's Grammar Pet Peeves.
The statement by the writer is redundant. It is either $1.39 million or it's 1.39 million dollars. It's not both. Buffalo Rising, hire a copy editor!
[post was edited per RIBoy's comment above.]
Report this
al-alo
oh, rhodeislandboy, youse is being so sticklery.
Report this
Joshua
Yup, I'm going to go out and get a $1.39 Million loan right now. All of those homes are expensive it's, Nottingham. It would be more interesting to see how home values in North Buffalo and West Buffalo (LWS, Allentown area) have either increased or decreased. That would be a more reasonable assessment of what the middle class people would be able to afford.
What was the orginal price of the home when it was bought the first time? I am a sucker for stats --- give me facts!
Report this
NBJOHN
Here nor there I will sell the NBJOHN estate on Wellington Road for $1.39 millions dollars and 00 cents, if anyone is interested... Just busting on ya RhodeIsland Boy....
But yes...from where I bought my house in 2001, and where it is now -it has gone up in value quite well.
Report this
cityindustry
Joshua, you can go to http://www.trulia.com/home_prices/New_York/Buffalo-heat_map/ and play around with all kinds of stats and trends. You can rank the city itself by neighborhoods, or you can rank the entire metro by zip code. 14216 and 14222 outrank even 14221 in popularity of searches. Interesting stuff to look at.
Report this
fleur526
the thing is, (as with fashion) buffalo's economic trends are generally 2-3 years behind the larger economic centers of the country. what we are going through now looks like sustained real estate growth, but really we are just behind the curve. this will happen again when the rest of the country comes out of the recession they are now entering and buffalo will still be free-falling economically (as they are doing now).
Report this
hodgepodge
can't complaint, my house has more than doubled in value in exactly 9 years (this month). but, the assessments also have sky-rocketed. ouch!!
Report this
Joshua
cityindustry...thanks for that link. Very helpful!
Report this
r129
I just checked the City of Buffalo's website. Assessed value for this property: $830,100. Sale price in 1995: $650,000.
Report this
Joshua
r129 - what what was the link you used on the City of Buffalo's website?
Report this
cityindustry
USA Today seems to think we're on the rise. Here are more stats to chew on. Also references the listing of the Jacobs house:
http://www.usatoday.com/money/economy/housing/closetohome/2008-01-14-buffalo_N.htm
NBJOHN... I'll beat you to it and list my Wellington Rd compound for $1.37M. Ha. Should go for a beer sometime.
Report this
BfloHighRise
I believe that JP Loseman has his mansion on Oakland Pl up for sale too.
Report this
r129
Joshua, at http://www.city-buffalo.com the link is under City Services and then Property Information, or just go to http://www.city-buffalo.com/applications/propertyinformation/propsearch.aspx
I wish the city's property information site wasn't always so slow. This is probably the only time I'll say anything good about the suburbs, but their property information sites are so much better! Many of them even include pictures of every single property. I think the City of Tonawanda's is my favorite, because it has multiple large photos with dates.
Report this
STEEL
If you want to be a real stickler for grammar you would not say that the house was being sold unless there was an offer. Without an offer you need to say the the house is being offered for sale
Report this
leadi
Fleur526 - I agree with Buffalo being 2-3 years behind but we will most likely not experience the same housing market crash this is currently happening all over the country. Because of Buffalo's economy consistently laggin behind the rest of the country, our banks tend to be much more conservative with mortages even during good economic times. When you are not at the top, there is a shorter distance to fall.
Most of the problems were caused by lenders across the country (sans Buffalo) being greedy and taking full advantage of low interest rates that the Fed kept cutting every quarter. The lendors issued loans to just about anyone who applied. Because of the amount of first time home buyers during this historically low interest period, more finance companies opened. In turn, huge numbers of mortgages were granted for first time buyers, many with less than stellar credit, by lenders that did not fully explain what an ARM loan is.
What is happening for the most part is those ARM's (Adjustable Rate Mortage) are being "called in" or are adjusting after the 3-year mark which means many home owners have payments that started at $1,000.00 per month and have, in many cases, tripled to over $3,000.00 per month.
In all fairness to the lenders - many people applied for a $500,000.00 (or more) mortgages that they could not really afford. Considering Buffalo and the surrounding areas have very few houses in that price range and the fact that our banks typically do not give mortages quite as easily - we are bit more buffered from this mortage meltdown.
Report this
NewBuffalo
as a licensed real estate agent I can tell you that parts of Buffalo are HOT and other parts you can not give houses away. North buffalo has seen an increase in the sale price of homes, doubles are selling from $100,000 to $130,000 on the right street. Areas near the peace bridge have also become hot lately. Houses there 15 yrs agpo were $20,000 to $30,000 at best now I see sales from $75,000 to $100,000. I also see a lot of people moving back here from places like florida and arizona. People leaving here are mostly job transfers or retires. This area never gets the high appreciation year by year that other parts of the nation get thus we do not see large price drops either keeping a steady market at all times.
Report this
SLEEPL8
"With the economy seeming to slowly be regaining lost ground..." Are you serious? We are on brink of recession. Buffalo is a flipper's paradise. Call Morano or Ryan Homes and ask them how strong the Western NY housing market is. New home sales are in the can. The high asking prices are on homes being flipped. I think this article was written way out of perspective. leadi is right on in that lenders are getting slammed by defaults on flexible rate loans that are on the rise. The rest of the nation is in forclosure hell but our market is OK due to more conservative lending in the past few years...relative to othe areas.
Report this
ChocolateShake
Nottingham Terrace does not represent what is going on in the rest of the city.
Report this
Joshua
Very true Shake, very true. Nottingham is the exception to the rule here.
Report this
xosder
Allentown properties have doubled in value in the past six years assuming they are kept up and invested into. Elmwood Village - check recent sales at $300K+ on Lexington/Highland. $200K+ on Norwood/Ashland. Nottingham/Middlesex are not an exception, the numbers are just different. Things are looking up in the Buffalo real estate market.
As far as the nationwide problem goes, loans were given to people based on the property going up in value, not based on their incomes. Example: Buddy moves to SCalif six years ago, No education, two kids, no job and $20K left over from a settlement involving and injury when he used to be a bridge painter here. He plops down the $20K buys a $350K house in a nice neighborhood and gets an ARM. The lender was assuming that the property would be doubling in value in that five years. Interest rates rise, he can't afford the new payment and the lender forecloses on his mortgage and sells the house for $450K....good deal for the lender.
Report this
xosder
Allentown properties have doubled in value in the past six years assuming they are kept up and invested into. Elmwood Village - check recent sales at $300K+ on Lexington/Highland. $200K+ on Norwood/Ashland. Nottingham/Middlesex are not an exception, the numbers are just different. Things are looking up in the Buffalo real estate market.
As far as the nationwide problem goes, loans were given to people based on the property going up in value, not based on their incomes. Example: Buddy moves to SCalif six years ago, No education, two kids, no job and $20K left over from a settlement involving and injury when he used to be a bridge painter here. He plops down the $20K buys a $350K house in a nice neighborhood and gets an ARM. The lender was assuming that the property would be doubling in value in that five years. Interest rates rise, he can't afford the new payment and the lender forecloses on his mortgage and sells the house for $450K....good deal for the lender.
Report this
AtwaterLouse
Those two links posted by cityindusty are interesting. In the 2nd link, the bar chart in lower left of USA Today article from today lists following median home prices and percent changes:
Buffalo and Erie Co: $115,000 (unchanged in past year)
NY State: $215,000 (down 11.2% in past year)
USA: $208,700 (down 3.7% in past year)
That doesn't seem they used the most recent data (Business First a few days ago reported a 1.3% yearly rise in median home prices here as of Dec 07), but it changes every month and that's pretty close to what USA Today said about it holding steady. Whether holding steady can be considered "looking up" simply depends on what's being compared to. It's doing a lot better over past year than NYS as a whole, and about 3 to 4 percent better than the USA as a whole. And of course if a longer term time frame is looked at instead of one year, the comparisons might look different as well. There's many different ways to look at this.
Report this
rubygreta
Cities like Cleveland are in MUCH worse shape than Buffalo. The damage caused by subprime lending was somewhat limited here because many of these lenders had minimum loan thresholds of $50,000. No amount of flipping and scamming could get the typical east side property valued over $50,000. In Cleveland (and Baltimore and other places), the flippers and scammers were able to artificially inflate the properties in lousy areas to a level where a $50,000 mortgage could be obtained. The problem is these so-called $60,000 properties are only worth $35,000 today.
So my guess is that the foreclosure problem in Buffalo (and Rochester and Syracuse) is less problematic.
Report this
BuffedOut
This is such a deal for anyone with the money to spend. In any housing market, the higher-ended properties always sell. This one would be at least five time the price in California or Maryland, for instance. Good luck to the Jacobs; by the way, an old, well-established Buffalo family. So why are they selling?
Report this
leadi
xosder - yes - that is what plays out a lot. Also when the bank forecloses the homeowner still owes all of the legal fees and bank fees. Their houses are over-assessed and they cannot sell them for what their mortgage is. Many times the homeowners are left penniless and/or forced into bankruptcy.
Because of this huge national mess Citbank just took a $10,000,000,000.00 loss. (think Austin powers when I say 10 BILLION dollars). It has been infused with funds from foreign investors (Kuwait and Japan). This is just one bank taking such a huge hit. Countrywide closed it doors months ago laying off thousands of people, Bank of America is laying off a few hundred more employees. Yep - it a mess right now.
Slow and steady wins the race. Hopefully Buffalo is buffered a little by all of this. NEW suburban houses are lagging, but in the City many houses are selling word of mouth. My house assessment has more than doubled since I bought it 10 years ago during a extremely slow market in the City. My house was vacant for 8 months before we bought - in perfect condition. The housing market is very cyclical. Highs and lows. It all works out.
Report this
urbansplendor
The banks are partially to blame for the real estate mess, and the fed and government are partially to blame, but the true blame rests on the shoulders of the borrowers. People who live way beyond their means, borrowing more money than they can afford to repay, charging up huge amounts on credit cards and driving cars that are outside of their price range, are really to blame. Personal responsibility is lacking in this entire mess. At some point in time the average American has to realize the credit cards and home equity lines of credit are risky investments. People have to realize that they do not need 3 televisions, $200.00 running shoes, and all of the other 'luxuries' that we now consider necessities. Yes, the banks should not lend to high risk customers. The fed should not screw with the economy as much as they do. Finally, people need to learn to live within their means. That may mean going with only one car, or one television, or without a new IPOD. You can tell me about people who don't make enough money, or the horrible conspiracies against the poor, but it all comes back to personal responsibility. Don't spend it if you don't have it, and don't borrow it if you can't pay it back.
Report this
chris69
This article reminds us all...and should be a call to developers that downtown and the inner urban neighborhoods want $250,000 to $1,250,000 homes. These homes dont have to be built with an acre or more of land in Lancaster, Clarence, East Aurora, Orchard Park or Amherst...they can be built within the city and most definitely around all our major Olmsted Parks: Delaware, Front, LaSalle, Cazenovia, South Park and even Masten as well as along the Buffalo and Niagara Rivers.
(Yes I know LaSalle and Masten are not Olmsted)
Report this
Texpat10
I don't know why exactly they are selling this place now but it isn't their primary residence. When in town they live on a very nice estate in Elma called Deer Ridge Farm. When not they are in Aiken, SC and Palm Beach FL. Incidently when their daughter got married they had 2,000 guests at Deer Ridge including 3 ex-presidents. She married the son of the former CEO of American Express.....
Report this
crotchetyoldbag
BfloHighRise said "I believe that JP Loseman has his mansion on Oakland Pl up for sale too."
Yes, but he's probably complaining that someone else got their property in front of the realtor ahead of him.
Report this
sayvanderlay
I love having friends visit from out of town, just so I can tell them how little I paid for my house.
Report this
RisingDamp666
Having lived in Elma, I can say I've always got my eye on Seymour Knox's old digs. With a little work, that fixer-upper might just accomodate my....shall we say, "eccentricities".
Report this
sbrof
I will take slow steady growth than the roller coaster that happens elsewhere. We as a region closed out at 3,100 new jobs for the year. Up a couple percent in real estate value. That sounds like progress to me. Slow and steady wins the race.
Report this
Martin
I know on N.Pearl which our realtor told us was "to edgy" 5 years ago had homes from 45 thousand to about 150 thousand, now the average is 250 thousand to 325 thousand...nice return
Report this
brokeleg
USA Today ran an article in the money section of one of last week's (i think tuesday) about this very same issue of the selling of the Jacobs estate. It was a very favorable look at Buffalo's relatively stable housing market compared to the crock of shit the rest of America is swimming in. Of course they had to make an intro of how weve lost all of our manufacturing jobs and people, our obligatory obituary. But they actually said that we are making up for it in the services industry. It almost, almost hinted at buffalo as being an up and coming city. Very nice to see.
Report this
jstraubinger
I've been tracking housing prices in the city for the last 2 years. Some of what I have noticed are 1) Linwood house prices have increased quite a bit, somewhere between 100K and 150K in this time period 2) Parkside area houses have increased about $25,000 in the last 2 years 3) Many houses on streets off Hertel like Sterling, Commonwealth and Wellington, to name a few, are selling for 100K+ 4) houses on McKinley Parkway in South Buffalo now sell for 100K+ and the houses between McKinley and Abbott Road sell for higher prices than the houses from McKinley going back towards the lake 5) There are now many houses in Allentown, if restored or in good shape, that sell for over 200K.
Report this
fleur526
While Buffalo's housing market doesn't experience the highs and lows of larger economic areas, s**t tends to roll down hill (something to do with trickle down economics). HSBC has their mortgage center in Cheektowaga, and M&T has a mortgage dep't here too. Even if mortgages in the 716 aren't being defaulted on at the same rate as say, SoCal, there is a tightening of lending going on (despite the Fed lowering interest rates), and the mortgage centers aren't being as profitable as they once were. What does that mean? Lay-offs, which will bring the down-turn to Buffalo. (Sorry to sound like an evil oracle.)
Saying that the foreclosures are the cause of this recession is like saying the Civil War was only about slavery. Middle and working class Americans are producing more for less pay (which makes them want to "treat themselves" by buying something they probably can't afford- the sociological equivalent of smoking/ eating fatty foods among the working class), are personally and nationally getting themselves in more debt and have a bleak outlook on the future in general. On top of all of that, the market experiences cycles of growth and retraction, usually every 5 years or so, so this is not at all unexpected economically.
It's always good to see Buffalo doing well and to see people moving within the city limits, but it's hardly the investment-grade real estate that's bringing them there. If a home's value doubles in 9 years, then based on the law of 72 that home value went up 8% per year. If you take out inflation, property taxes and maintenance (assuming you paid cash for the property and aren't paying interest on a mortgage), you aren't left with much and would have been better renting and sticking you money in mutual funds. I hate to sound like a pessimist, but that's how discounted cash flow works.
Report this
Dan
rubygreta: it's true. The housing market in the Cleveland area is dire right now. It's one of the few Rust Belt cities to get hit hard by the foreclosure crisis, thanks to the prevalence of predatory lending. Real estate in the Cleveland area was about 30% to 50% pricier than in Buffalo, but still affordable by national standards. I live in one of the Heights-area burbs east of Cleveland that got hit especially hard. Lower and moderate income families from Cleveland's East Side ghetto, looking for a better life, were enticed by easy mortgage credit. They were mostly unprepared for home ownership, ARMs adjusted upward, and foreclosure was the result.
There is still a lot of new retail development, and new residential development in the city is moving slowly, but in the 'burbs -- understand that some of Cleveland's suburbs are very urban in character; many feel more like North Buffalo and Parkside than Amherst -- the market is dead.
In the long term, though, in Buffalo a house is just a shelter, even if it's in the best of neighborhoods. In other parts of the country, it's an investment.
Report this
leadi
Layoffs can happen because of the housing market taking its toll on the banks. However, some of our banks here do not have a national presence: Greater Buffalo, First Niagara, the credit unions, etc, so the hopefully the mortgage meltdown will not be as great here. Our local banks were not giving out mortgages as fast as the rest of the ocuntry. Some of the other banks have not only a national presence, but international. HSBC (Hong Kong Shanghi Banking Corporation). HSBC is a large employer here and hopefully their international assets will help offset US losses causing few layoffs. (I stress the word hopefully.)
We have a lot of company headquarters in WNY because these companies like our workers. We show up to work, unlike workers in other parts of the country, and companies can pay us a little less here. The people in Buffalo have a really good work ethic. Hopefully banking layoffs will be kept to a minimum in WNY.
Even though the banks may not be lending as fast as they were - they still need to lend money. It is the checks and balances of any financial institution. They cannot just stop making loans.
I agree that consumer overspending is a huge problem in this country. 100% We bought our house based on only one income versus both of our salaries. For months the mortage company and our real estate agent tried to talk us into buying a bigger, more expensive house. We are very happy we stuck to our original plan.
Report this
urbanesque
Leadi - Good points, a few points to consider: HSBC is the third or fourth largest bank in the world and is headquartered in London. The parent company is under a great deal of pressure to change the operating model of HSBC North America, primarily due to the risk associated with owning Household Finance. Household Finance is the largest sub-prime lender in the US. If you look up articles on Knight Vinke, you will see the pressure that HSBC is under to change their operating model and increase profitability for North America. To cut expenses, HSBC has been moving jobs to Buffalo and Charlotte from New York and Chicago, this is one of the reasons that they were looking for additional space at the Mortgage Center on Walden. I am not sure if this is still the case. That said, HSBC is laying off employees on a very frequent basis, so is M&T and Bank of America. Citigroup just announced a major lay-off and restructuring that will result in a job gain for the Amherst processing center. Experts are predicting consolidation of the US banking market over the next 1 - 3 years, this may result in some of our smaller, local, banks being bought by either regional, mid-size, banks or some of the larger international banks if it meets their business needs.
I believe that more companies would move operations to WNY if we created a more business friendly environment and had a better qualified workforce. We do have a lot of educated people, but we truly lack a deep pool of candidates who are experienced and educated. I know that my company has been looking at moving more executives and several divisions to Buffalo and Omaha, but we have trouble finding enough qualified people to backfill positions. Moving these divisions would add quite a few mid-six figure executives to the area who would look for the higher-end houses like the one on Nottingham. We need to do a lot to make this happen, and I can tell you from experience that we are not in the short-list of tier 3 cities for many companies due in part to perception and past experiences for some companies. We need to work on changing this. Our selling point shouldn't be a lot of underemployed and unemployed workers who are available to the highest bidder, this only takes us so far and is hardly a key differentiator when compared to other struggling cities. Our core competencies should include inexpensive operating costs (power, water, fiber infrastructure), competitive tax structure, a well qualified and experienced workforce, and available class-A office space.
We have quite a distance to travel if we want to make this a reality, but I think that it is worth the investment.
Report this
leadi
urbanesque - Excellent! Well said!
Report this
nonono
what a lovely and vaguely informative article.
thank you, again, BR for continuing to $erve the information need$ of one tenth of one percent of our population.
a heated garage i$ a mu$t in our climate, dont want all tho$e barrel$ of petrol we traded so many young american and iraqi live$ for getting chilled. what are we after all, $avage$?
Report this
weapologizeformckinley
Texpat10,
You've got the right family, but the wrong generation. Jeremy Jacobs Sr owns estates named Deeridge in Elma and Jupiter. Jeremy Jacobs Jr is selling his Delaware Park house because he's spent the last few years renovating an old mansion near his dad's in Elma.
Report this
nonono
weapologizeformckinley,
speak for yourself....mckinley is going to be a big tourist attraction some day, as soon as someone with the pockets creates virtual reality PanAmerican theme park featuring an assassination / execution recreation simulator.
if we're committing this article entirely to lifestyles of the rich and infamous, how about a social registry recap of births and marriages from 1900 to the present?
Report this
nbflo
Just an example to confirm the recent sale prices in North Buffalo. BuffaloHomefinderextra.com
10/31/2006 $128,000 157 Saranac Ave. BUFFALO Map 10/20/2006 $150,000 207 Saranac BUFFALO Map 3/17/2006 $141,000 137 Saranac Ave. BUFFALO Map 11/7/2007 $105,000 162 Saranac Ave BUFFALO Map 10/30/2007 $137,870 294 Saranac Ave. BUFFALO Map 10/12/2007 $120,000 90 Saranac Ave. BUFFALO Map /21/2007 $128,000 189 Saranac Ave. BUFFALO Map 2/27/2007 $129,500 185 Saranac Ave. BUFFALO Map 11/2/2007 $155,000 171 Sterling Ave BUFFALO Map 10/5/2007 $108,000 37 Sterling Ave. BUFFALO Map 2/26/2007 $130,000 61 Sterling Ave. BUFFALO Map 1/23/2007 $97,064 287 Sterling Ave. BUFFALO Map 10/26/2007 $125,000 277 Wellington Road BUFFALO Map 9/28/2007 $141,000 296 Wellington BUFFALO Map /30/2007 $110,000 187 Wellington Road BUFFALO Map
Report this
RisingDamp666
Well stated, nbflo, but those sale prices don't include air-rights above those addresses which are worth, on average, in the tens of millions of dollars.
Report this
AtomicBoy
We purchased a home in University Heights in really nice neighborhood for very little this past summer. I guess the housing market has rebounded in our neighborhood yet or else we wouldn't be able to afford to live here either.
Report this
nonono
RisingDamp,
dont you mean the Million$ of Tenth$ of Dollar$?
Report this
nonono
RisingDamp,
dont you mean the Million$ of Tenth$ of Dollar$?
Report this
RisingDamp666
Whichever, Nonono, so long as supplies of LSD last. My dealer dropped a red phoenix four-way the other day and marked up his Utica home to $4.2 million...and found a buyer! Seems someone very high up in the Bush Administration mixed up a real estate section ad with a Superfund Site application!
Report this