City July 10, 2012 1:40 PM

NFL's New Blackout Policy Should Enhance Buffalo's Future in the League

NFL’s New Blackout Policy Should Enhance Buffalo’s Future in the League
By Matt Sabuda - President, Buffalo Fan Alliance:

There's been varying opinions regarding the NFL's new blackout policy and how it could put more pressure on a small market like Buffalo. 

Under the new policy, individual teams will have the ability to set their ticket selling threshold to avoid blackouts as long as it's above 85 percent. The likely result should have a positive effect in a way that will help Buffalo's viability in the NFL going forward. 

Each year, Buffalo fans are seemingly faced with criticism that the market may be too small to support an NFL franchise. The reality is that there are a number of markets who don't support their NFL teams nearly as much as Buffalo does, both at Ralph Wilson Stadium and as expats in other markets . One of the primary reasons we read about Buffalo not selling out games is because we don't have an owner, a television affiliate, or a sponsor who routinely inflates ticket sales by using the NFL's sellout loophole to avoid a blackout. 

Under this loophole, a team is allowed to purchase unsold tickets for 34 cents on the dollar to ensure a 'sellout' on paper. Based on the sellout loophole, it's been difficult to know which markets truly support their team through ticket purchases.

Buffalo has long been operating with complete ticket transparency. This can't be said of other markets like Miami, Carolina and St. Louis to name a few. Even if the Bills don't opt in to the new program, other markets that the NFL has trumpeted for their sellouts will. After all, the new policy was approved by a majority of the league.

If fringe interest markets opt in, it will boost Buffalo's market viability and future in the league. One thing we do know is that the Bills don't often use the sellout loophole. The 85 percent blackout rule change will likely bring some measure of transparency to an otherwise cloudy ticket sales reality across the league. This can only help Buffalo who has been operating with ticket transparency for years. 

Most people are unaware, but when the New York Jets opened MetLife Stadium in 2010, they failed to sell all tickets to fans, forcing owner Woody Johnson to buy remaining seats for a sellout. This is just one example of the sellout loophole creating a misperception that Buffalo is unique in not constantly selling out their stadium. Washington may provide the most substantial evidence of needed transparency. Last season, the Redskins boasted 362 straight sellouts despite averaging just 83.9 percent in actual home attendance. 

As recently as the 2008 and 2009, despite nearly a decade of non-playoff teams, Buffalo had the league's eighth and 10th highest average per game attendance, respectively. The reality is that Buffalo has not faced an epidemic of poor fan support despite on-field results. In 2011, Buffalo accounted for three of 16 "non-sellouts." This, however, doesn't mean that a number of other markets wouldn't have been in the same situation if it wasn't for the sellout loophole. Based on the expensive nature of the loophole, you can bet that a number of markets will opt in to the 85 percent policy to reduce their own cost of creating these sellouts.

Long term, Buffalo should stack up well against other markets who will not only utilize the 85 percent rule, but will make 85 percent their new standard to avoid blackouts without having to routinely purchase the additional 15 percent of unsold tickets. 

The new policy likely would have been impossible without the vocal support of fans in Buffalo calling for change. Buffalo was the largest market to respond during the FCC's comment period regarding a possible change in the NFL's blackout policy. The NFL also deserves tremendous credit for listening to fans, recognizing the reality of ticket sales and quickly responding with positive change. 

As a fan advocacy group, who called for change along with Rep. Brian Higgins, we believe that creating a more transparent environment regarding ticket sales is a great achievement for fans and Buffalo's long term future in the NFL.

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Great piece... I agree that Buffalo is one of the prime markets for this policy and it should help secure their home in town

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You're really grasping at straws. How a policy that will discourage ticket sales is beneficial to a new owner who will need as much revenue as possible is beyond me.

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And doesn't Higgins have bigger issues to worry about than if Bills games will be blacked out ?

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Considering the Bills are a tenent of the County owned stadium, hire hundreds of seasonal workers, have about 3 dozen or so millionaires on the payroll that contibute to local tax rolls as well to the local hospitality industry and that the team is a key marketing feature of our region I would assume our elected officials are doing everything possible to keep the team here.

replied to Jaxson
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The problem with small and midsize markets is that there isnt much room for error.

A team in a bigger city can afford to play with ticket prices and cable contracts etc. Getting it wrong and alienating loyal devoted fans is risky.

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Does the team have to decide to opt-in or opt-out for the whole season? Or can they decide on a game by game basis.

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Has to be for whole season, according to Chargers owner Spanos at the link a few comments below.

replied to Mike6133
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The Indianapolis colts already became the first team to state they will not be changing their policy. They will continue to blackout games that are not sold out, citing its important for them to prioritize ticket purchasing fans in a small market.

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Yes, the Colts said they won't go along with this, and the Chargers owner sounds like he's saying the same thing here
http://www.utsandiego.com/news/2012/jul/02/new-blackout-policy-likely-wont-impact-chargers/

To answer Mike6133's question -
in the link above the Chargers owner Spanos says each team's decision about this must apply for the whole season - not selectively for certain games:
"… If a team lowers the bar for blackouts, the number is fixed for the season. Whenever the team clears the mark, it will be required to share more ticket revenue than usual with other teams in the league. It’s that part of the new rules that the Chargers believe would be too high a price to pay, said A.G. Spanos, the team’s executive vice president and chief executive officer.
"And even if you went to 15 percent lower, hypothetically an 85 percent manifest, that doesn't necessarily guarantee you a lift of the blackout for every game," Spanos said Monday. “It's also important to understand that the manifest is set for the year for every game, whether it's a big game for us or a game with a less attractive opponent."
…"

replied to buffalo soldier
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I don't understand how this is good for the Bills' fans. As of last year we had the majority of blackouts and the Bill's owners and management had a very clear way to prevent the blackout but they'd rather punish the fans than pony up 34 cents on the dollar. Now the NFL is allowing them to further skimp out by requiring only 85% sell-out to broadcast and who knows if the bills will even pony up then.

The blackout doesn't encourage ticket sales, it's merely a punishment for fans that don't go to games. Other markets see this and ensure their games are technically sold out so their fans can see the gam. The Bills don't care enough too. Ralph and the top end only care about cash in their pocket and Buffalo won't get a team that gives back until that changes

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