City February 4, 2011 11:42 AM

Making a Vibrant Downtown

Making a Vibrant Downtown
By Greg Conley:

One of my problems with the City of Buffalo is the lack of vibrancy Downtown. Central Business Districts are the hearts of their metro areas. When you think of Chicago, New York, and Toronto you think of their Downtowns. That same area is viewed by many visitors to Buffalo as well. It's that view that lands us in the newspapers for being an area of depression.

So to figure out why there is a lack of vibrancy, I decided to pull up some simple demographic data.

My self-questioning resulted in comparing a series of cities within the US. I compared the population density of downtown areas or Central Business Districts to their Metropolitan areas. Using city density would not be accurate because cities have urbanized zones outside its borders in many cases. Instead, I made the supposition that great metropolises have populated downtowns. I was pretty much correct.

I selected cities within the region of Buffalo. Including places like Los Angeles and Atlanta might not give accurate results. Clearly people can contend what counts as the region.

Proportion-of-Downtown-Den.jpg
^Data is from City-Data. They provide downtown populations and areas. I would have included Indianapolis and Rochester, but I had trouble finding the square footage of their downtowns.

For the most part, the cities people generally view as depressing have low population densities in their downtown area. Of course there are exceptions, such as Hartford. Since I don't know enough about Hartford, I can't say why its downtown density is low. On this chart, Buffalo is in the lower third of cities shown here. The cities people associate with success are at the top.

However, population alone isn't a good indicator as to the success of a downtown, city, or metropolis. Because of this, I put a focus on GDP output of a metropolis in comparison to its population density.

Metro-GDP-per-capita.jpg
^Data is from City-Data and www.bea.gov/index.htm

Clearly a fair way of assessing the state of the economy for a metro area is by using GDP per capita. As we can see here, Buffalo is at the bottom. Here again, the typical cities we associate with success are at the top.

Some opinions I have about the data:

It seems like strong downtown cores equal success. When cities such as Detroit, Cleveland, and Buffalo were the envied, it's pretty obvious they probably had denser Central Business Districts.

A couple of Rust Belt cities stuck out. Pittsburgh and Indianapolis were two metro areas that varied between having decently dense CBDs and higher GDP per capita in the metro. I think these may be fair indicators that they are having success. Clearly these two cities are bright spots in the Midwest.

The reason for all of this now is to ask what it means to Buffalo. The City is low in both of these charts. It doesn't have a sizeable CBD, and its GDP output is at the bottom of the regional pack. I think from these two indicators, a plan could be made for the Queen City.

Quite simply, Buffalo needs to bring people Downtown to live. Being in a central location will support the Central Business District. The idea is that a restaurant's bread and butter may be the people who live nearby, but its profits come from the out of CBD visits. It's what could keep these businesses afloat. It would significantly reduce the dismal feel of Downtown. Also, there needs to be enticing residences for the Middle class and young professionals. These residences need to be near public transit, such as the Metro Rail. Bringing people into Downtown to live will increase and create new business.

From the data, an acceptable Downtown to Metro Density ratio could be 12 to 1. Chicago is at 12.68. At 12:1, the amount of people living Downtown should be 5705. It's currently 1567.

The ideas that many have for Downtown are meaningless, unless there are people living there. It's logic. There will not be a successful supermarket or new mass transit Downtown, unless there are more people. The waterfront won't even be successful without this void being filled.

What needs to happen is a conversion of unsuccessful commercial buildings into mixed use, or completely residential buildings. For example, the Main Place Mall would have considerable success if it had residences within the tower. That is a prime location to live.

Final thought:

Downtowns are the hearts of metro areas. The urbanized areas of metro areas are the appendages. When there is heart failure, we all fail. Bringing people to live Downtown is the real catalyst for success in the Queen City.

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Hopefully when HSBC leaves their building and Class B and C upgrade into the cheap class a space. It will leave a bunch of older building open to convert to residental or mixed use.

The expanding medical sector and Larkin district will also drive downtown living for those that desire that life style.

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Who the heck considers Pittsburgh at the top of the success ladder. They are one of the few Cities/Metros in the country that have fallen as much as Buffalo. Pittsburgh lost more people as a percentage during the past 20 years than Buffalo has. It has gone from 650,000 in 1950 to roughly 300,000 now. It has lost 4 major downtown department store in the past 15 years alone and it's sole remaining one Macy's has shut down several floors. It was so bad there that during last years G20 summit in Pittsburgh they put in a whole series of fake storefronts in empty buildings to make it look like they were simply closed for the week. Some success.

http://www.fark.com/comments/4572955/Pittsburgh-is-dressing-up-vacant-downtown-storefronts-ahead-of-G-20-summit-presumably-to-make-them-more-attractive-targets-for-brick-throwing-anarchists

http://www.wtae.com/r/20155484/detail.html

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And Pittsburgh's downtown is definitely not mixed use, either. It is active during business hours, but after 6pm there is very little activity and almost zero residential. (there are a couple exceptions on the fringes of downtown and across the rivers, but none in the central business district).

There are a few very successful mixed-use neighborhoods within walking distance of the CBD, and the difference half a mile makes is startling. But when I lived there, downtown was deader than a zombie movie after dark.

replied to Sally
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Yea, I was thinking the same thing while reading the article.

Even Boston's downtown is lonely at night... this has more to do with the way our cities are planned.

replied to DeanerPPX
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unlike a lot of cities....housing in downtown Buffalo is more expensive (usually by a lot)and less practical then buying in the most desirable areas of the city...(Elmwood Vlg, Allentown, Parkside / N BUff).....so if you were young or even I old I guess...would you rather buy a condo in a ghostown (Elk lofts) for $300grand+...or buy a beautiful home for considerably less in more vibrant neighborhood?..

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That's a great photo with this article. I love the new 700 block of Main Street.

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Sitting here just off "downtown", I look over there and wonder where the hell are the residential units gonna go?

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yes, it goes without saying that you need lots of people to make a downtown appealing, interesting, and economically viable. but we keep acting as though we need cars, lots of parked cars. like, if we can just cram more cars downtown as cheaply as possible, whether on surface lots or in ramp garages, then the heavens will part, a chorus of angels will sing, and nirvana will result.

fifty to seventy years of accommodating parked automobiles at the expense of every other activity and land use has produced a severely diminished downtown. i am grateful for every soul who moves in and calls it their own.

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Everytime my lease is up we move closer to Downtown.

Score: 5 ( 9 votes ) Vote up Vote down Report this comment

Downtown Buffalo is VERY hard on the eyes... even in the nicest parts of our central business district its not easy to look at.

You ever wanna take a road trip definately stop on Michigan avenue in Chicago. FLOWERS EVERYWHERE!! Landscaped medians, trees, decorative lampposts, GARBAGE cans, clean sidwalks... its amazing. I would imagine overall, done relatively cheaply and does wonders to soften the environment of a concrete jungle.

The closest thing we have here is Elmwood... if we could just replicate some of the positive street elements on Elmwood elsewhere in the city of buffalo it would do wonders for the "perception" of Downtown. We are the crews power washing sidewalks, picking up garbage, planting flowers, CLEANING?? They're non existent.

Ivans right... if you're just an average joe in buffalo you have two choices for city living: N. Buffalo bordering Kenmore/Tonawanda and South Buffalo. If not your either in a 300k victorian in Elmwood/Allen or a 29k double double on the East or West Sides.

Explain that logic when you can get a nice cape cod in Tonawanda for $115k or a new build in lancaster/hamburg for $150k-$165?

Two choices in the city or pretty much the suburbs.. those are your options in the city if your not a doctor or a gangster.

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I will bet Chicago's "Magnificent Mile" has a flush beautification budget that is well funded by Bloomingdale's, Gucci, Louis Vuitton, etc. I doubt the city is the one paying for those street amenities, but rather a merchants' association.

replied to Buffalo All Star
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Well I'm sure Buffalo Place could look into something like that.

replied to JSmith
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For me, the "lack of vibrancy" issue isn't just because of the lack of residential. A major issue is that the CBD isn't even that vibrant during office hours. Obviously, a high density residential/office balance would be nice, but there are plenty of cities that their immediate CBD is bustling during the daytime and then most people leave for other parts of the city at night (which would be acceptable in my mind). High density office or high density residential - either would make downtown feel more like a vibrant city and both hinge on the ability of downtown attracting the necessary number of jobs. Finding 5,000 Gen Yers wanting to live downtown isn't the issue; the issue is finding 5,000 jobs for those Gen Yers to have a reason to live downtown.

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Jag,you have it right. No jobs.......no people living downtown. A city's downtown may be the heart but its only as good as its extremities. Cities that are growing jobs in their downtown area tend to be experiencing job growth in their extremities as well........the outer city and suburbs. areas. Think of Buffalo as a city that has had major surgery and now is in recovery. That requires that all elements of the metro area must be recovery as well. Keep doing what you are doing in your downtown.......eventually a critical mass will be realized......but also watch what is happening in the rest of city and metro area.

replied to jag
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Ivan is on to something, decent housing in the burbs is quite affordable compared to Downtown lofts and condos and without a college or substantial entertainment options together with the ease of driving and parking and there is really no demand for density in residential. And then you face the reality of racism and prejudice vs. poverty by suburbanites. Urban Growth Boundries and very progressive government together with a plethora of young and progressive small business operators is what is needed as well. And regretfully middle class wny'ers are not attracted by public transit. I know young couples that cannot rub two nickels together but they have two cars, two cell phones, ipods and manage to party too. Taking the train is something they do for fun every now and again. WNY is just not a progressive and conscientious place that will ever truly adopt a diverse urban culture.

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Great stuff! Be sure to show up and express your views at the downtown neighborhood workshop coming up!

Central (Downtown, Erie Basin, Outer Harbor)
Monday, February 28
6:30 - 9:00 pm
Hutch-Tech High School
230 S. Elmwood Ave.

http://www.buffalogreencode.com

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Jessee..try the endless amount of surface parking lots and a majority of the half filled office buildings in the cbd

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What they really need to do is improve the Buffalo public school system. In every city in the US, a dense population of young urban families is always the most desirable place to live. Most young families in Buffalo opt for the burbs because they dont want to have to pay tens of thousands of dollars to send their kids to private school. Bring in the families and you bring in the dollars.

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See, I donno about that. Obviously what you say is logical, but almost all cities deal with subpar school systems, crime, etc. but those issues just aren't seen as reasons to flee the city for this generation. I think that if Buffalo had more of the positives of an urbanized environment then they'd easily outweigh the negatives, just like in most successful cities. Not to say we shouldn't strive for lower crime and better schools, I just think tackling issues of walkability and smart urban infill are both easier to fix and a bigger impediments to the city's longterm success.

replied to KelZiv
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Not just leaving the city but if you by a house in the city say N Blo and your kids get bussed to one of the less better school what incentive is that to buy house in the city? People and their kids want to feel like there in a community. Busing your kids to other schools does not make you feel as if your in a community. I have heard this argument from couples that live in the city and plan to have kids but wont stay in the city because the situation. Also comparing Boston to Buffalo is apple and oranges.

One of the main advantages Buffalo schools had over the suburban schools was the ability of the children to walk to their neighborhood schools. Federal Judge Curtain took this advantage away in his decision to bus the school children all over the city to alleviate "segregation" in the city. This effort wasted millions of dollars that could have been put to much better uses. Other cities have finally realized their mistake and gone back to the neighborhood school system.

replied to jag
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At least in Boston, MA and Providence, RI you are wrong.

The public school system in those two cities is a mess. Urban families in Boston try to get their kids into either Boston Latin (first) or Roxbury Latin (second). Both are public schools that you need to test into (like Buffalo's City Honors). Outside of those two schools, kids are being sent to private schools. Boston College High School (a private Catholic school) attracts a lot of kids from families in Southie, Dorchester, Hyde Park, Mattapan and Roslindale. In Providence, there isn't even a good public option. No testing school exists in Providence, so urban families either send their kids to the poorly performing public schools or pay a small fortune for the private schools.

Those two cities do not rely on good public schools to remain vibrant.

replied to KelZiv
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Kelziv> "Bring in the families and you bring in the dollars."

Singles, young couples, and empty-nesters may bring more bang for the buck. They pay similar taxes as families but do not require as many public services since they don't have kids to send to school.

Bring in more of these people and you will have more resources to fix the schools.

replied to KelZiv
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Honestly,

You can slide and dice the data 50 ways, tell the story another hundred and nothing has changed in the last 50 years and you're not telling me anything new....

If you want to address the problem try gearing your article themes toward the following:

- downtown restaurants
- downtown living spaces (what's on the market, not just development projects)
- interview people who live downtown, what they like about and have them shed insight on things that most of us would not know about

These are the types of things that will make people excited. Everyone in America knows how bad our downtown sucks, keep painting the same picture in your articles and it will stay that way...

too bad this website carries the crappy buffalo mentality that the rest of the journalists around here do...

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Good article, thanks Greg.

I have to agree (for one) with a lot of the viewpoints above, but I also want to remind people how much Buffalo has changed in the past 5-7 years. The buzz, positivity and renewed interest in Buffalos' core is palpable...after 50 years of utter neglect.

A lot of the pieces of the puzzle are coming together: people ARE actually living downtown, arts organizations are clustered on main street, there are key events (Powder Keg, etc.) that are bringing people down in masses, etc. All of this activity will continue to coalesce and help to make Downtown more vibrant.

I agree with grad (and others) that the prevalence of (surface lot) parking has been one of the biggest annihilating forces to downtown: it prioritizes the vehicle over the pedestrian, it encourage the demolition of so many great buildings, etc. We need to not let that happen anymore-bury it and build on top! We need more green (to soften the edge as mentioned above), more infill, more destination sites and, again, more residents.

All of which is happening......

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Here is a link for those who feel there is not enough "affordable" housing downtown.

http://www.buffaloplace.com/apartments

There are plenty of complexes with starting rents in the 400-500 per month range in some of the older developments(ie: Ansonia, 267 Franklin, Franklin Tupper, Marine Drive etc).

The newer developments tend to be on the high end of the rental market but there are still places to live in and adjacent to the central business district that are within most people's budget.

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I always wonder if we aren't foolish to look for cause and effect (as uninspiring as that may be): Are downtowns crowded because their cities are vibrant, or are the cities vibrant because they have bustling downtowns? When you phrase the question like that, doesn't it sort of suggest that we cannot reliably attribute cause and effect?

Consider that if there were a reliable (and knowable) causal relationship, it would imply that all urban areas could prosper simultaneously, which seems, on its face ridiculous, sort of like Lake Woebegon's wondrous children, all of whom are above average.

Much of what drove urban success in the past (access to natural resources for the purposes of production or the transportation and sale of produced items) has been rendered less important as we became a society of doers (a service economy). What can be done to drive urban success when that success is determined by the ability to appeal to the aesthetic sensibilities of highly mobile elites (decision-makers)? The variables are now attributes of the population, rather than the location.

Cities of the future America may be affinity associations, populated by persons brought together not by immigration waves or demand for unskilled labor (or inertia--never underestimate inertia), but by common desires for a particular climate or population density (don't we all know people for whom the cheek-by-jowl density of Manhattan is literally frightening?).

As a confirmed city-dweller, Manhattan-lover, transit-rider, I am mindful of the fact that as real incomes rose following World War II, the first thing people did was run like hell for the less dense suburbs. Any urbanist needs to answer the question implicit in that historical fact: Why?

Buffalo's population (and thus density) and its proportion of the metro population peaked in the 1950's. The IRC streetcars stopped running in the 1950's. Cars were not yet the dominant mode of daily transportation for anything like a majority of metro residents. The corner began to be turned before Bethlehem Steel closed, before the streetcars went poof, before the 33 was built, etc.

On the subject of transit-related development, the issue reemerges: What's cause, what's effect? The streetcars were removed in favor of buses, in order to be able to more nimbly respond to changes in the urban environment (shopping and residences); that was how they were sold to Buffalo (and probably LA). Unfortunately, bus routes calcify as readily as rail routes, it appears. Almost every NFTA bus route extant today has buried streetcar tracks running beneath it, yet travel patterns have changed since 1950, have they not? All I think when I read the contemporaneous news accounts of the streetcar-bus changeover was: Business would not have built where no one could reach it. If the streetcars had remained, higher-density development along its corridors would have resulted, IF (huge if) road development had not followed as strongly as it did.

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Y... thanks for reeling this trainwreck in. Everyone is throwing all these theories and ideas out and then trying to show ciuse and effect and in fact, important variables are skipped and lesser important ones are held up as significant.

In simplest terms, even hypothetically with an Urban Growth Boundary in place as someone suggested which would allow us to make the assumption that sprawl would be minimized, the economics of this region and irs aging AND declining (double whammy) populaation are the tost critical issues.

Some comments after running through these above:


1. The culture of WNY is a suburban one. Normative agruments that city life should be required or that it's the only way to live dismiss reality and dismiss economics.

2. As for economics, most people recognize that there are tradeoffs between the city and the suburbs. First, you can buy a house on a larger lot for less money in the suburbs in a better school district. Despite this fascination with density, it's not actually what most people want. So if they don't prefer that and can get a nice house in a nice suburbn for the same price as a home in Elmwood Village and with better schools (assuming the have kids), that's what they'll do. You can argue until next year about school quality, but research continues to support it as critical in the housing decisions of the most important age groups, those young professionals with school age kids who contribute to the economy.

3. Measuring GDP output against population is insignificant. It's cherry picked data to support your argument but wrong on many levels, most critically it assumes GDP, a flawed measurement in its own right, is the right measurement for all local economies.

4. Design-based solutions like the Green Code won't have any impact socially or economically in the short term (10-20 years) and is likely to have minimal impact in the longterm. If the Code is adminsitered in the same fashion by the same city with the same departments and same employees, its an epic failure. Until systematic changes are made politically in the city, new laws and codes are public relations and re-election fodder. Let me ask you this.... what is the timeline for completion of the Code and when will Byron Brown have his next mayoral campaign in full swing? Coincidence?

Here's a simplified formula for the future:

Regional Population decline + Aging Remaining Population + Government Fragmentation and Municipal Competition = Decline of this Region

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BF> "First, you can buy a house on a larger lot for less money in the suburbs in a better school district. Despite this fascination with density, it's not actually what most people want. So if they don't prefer that and can get a nice house in a nice suburbn for the same price as a home in Elmwood Village and with better schools (assuming the have kids), that's what they'll do. "

Solution (If you view this as a problem): Take away the subsidies that make that large lot house artificially cheap. Problem solved.

replied to buffalofalling
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Are you saying that you can get a subsidy to buy a house in the burbs for cheaper than a house in the city? Is this a HUD program or is someone else running it?

replied to Armchair MBA
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Various direct and indirect subsidies make the low-density, large-lot single-family home cheaper than it would be otherwise. The roads, utilities, local government, semi-nationalized mortgage system, and homeownership tax incentives that are required for this pattern of development are paid for by the rest of by way of taxes.

replied to skybox
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I don't understand. The semi-nationalized mortgage system and homeownership tax incentives are subsidies that keep suburban prices low? I am not following you? Are you saying that these programs shouldn't exist or that they shouldn't exist for suburbs? How is local government a subsidy program? How are roads and utilities subsidies?

Are you trying to say that we are all paying for these things through our taxes but our taxes should only be used for the things in the city? I don't think I follow you on this because these are expenditures and not subsidies.

I am not pulling your leg here. I am just trying to better understand why suburb prices are artificially low and how we can do something about it.

replied to Armchair MBA
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Skybox> "I don't understand. The semi-nationalized mortgage system and homeownership tax incentives are subsidies that keep suburban prices low? I am not following you?"

They are public programs that reduce the cost of owning a house. When combined with other subsidies (roads, government etc) they reduce the cost of sprawl development.

Skybox>" How is local government a subsidy program? How are roads and utilities subsidies?"

They are paid for by funding sources outside of those of the people that use/benefit from them. Examples: Clarence, Wheatfield, and other smaller towns have their police forces paid for by their respective counties. Roads are funded by the general public as well as a variety of non road related taxes including cell phone surcharges and railroad fees.

Skybox> "Are you saying that these programs shouldn't exist or that they shouldn't exist for suburbs?"

I wouldn't draw the city-burb line since many older burbs that once benefited from these subsidies are now in a state of premature decline because of subsidized overbuilding further out. I will say there are valid environmental, social, and cost advantages of not subsidizing low-density development, which would likely lead to a more city-like development pattern.

replied to skybox
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I am still not following you. The city and older burbs are built with the same model as the newer burbs and developments in the city. The new development in North Buffalo has the same benefits as a new development in one of the burbs. I don't see how the burbs are getting subsidies or benefits that are unfair or unequal. The only difference is these things benefited the city at one time and now that the houses are built they don't benefit as much as they did before.

I'd also be careful about drawing the line between direct funding and benefit from what you are paying for. There are a lot of people who won't set foot or drive anywhere near certain sections of Buffalo. Should they have the right to say that they won't fund anything that benefits the residents there because they don't directly use it? Let me clarify that I hate the way highways are funded and will never use the 219 extension but I understand my burden to pay for it because of what it means to other residents.

Maybe the issue is that we should stop building and not give people the choice to live in anything other than an already built house. This would stop the bleeding in the city and the old burbs that you mentioned, but I would also argue that this would apply to the development of new loft spaces and condos in the city. If we want to stop public funding for new buildings then we basically stop growth in all areas unless you want to discriminate against the burbs and just say that building and receiving money from the government is only ok in the city. I don't know that you'd get much support on that.

I don't know if I have this right but this is what I got from your response. It is ok to subsidize city development directly but not ok to indirectly fund suburban development. This pits the city against the suburbs again, and that is fine. We just need to make sure we call it what it really is.

replied to Armchair MBA
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Skybox> "The city and older burbs are built with the same model as the newer burbs and developments in the city."

Not really. FHA, Fannie Mae, and Freddie Mac didn't come around until the New Deal and the Interstate Highway Act didn't come out until the early 50s. That explains why pre-depression parts of town are much more compact than postwar sections.

Skybox> " This pits the city against the suburbs again, and that is fine. We just need to make sure we call it what it really is"

Not at all. I think it is just as wasteful when harm is caused by sprawl in the burbs as much as it is in the city.

replied to skybox
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I disagree with you on the Federal Housing Act. This act was a resounding success, it increased home ownership from less than 4% nationally and less than 2% of Americans living in Urban environments when it was created in 1933 to more than 65% of Americans owning homes by 1970. Without FHA the majority of city residents would be living in rental apartments. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac came later to make sure that loans were being offered fairly and freely by banks and lenders among other reasons for their creation.

These programs benefited the majority of people in the city, not just the suburbanites. Without these agencies the cities would be a much different place ruled by the rich property owners who could afford an 8 year mortgage. Sure these programs also made suburban home ownership possible and the programs have become easier to access with newer regulations aimed at more home ownership for less advantaged citizens.

I wonder if you are also against the G.I. Bill or the housing acts of 1928 and 1949? These had an influence on the development of the suburbs but provided more benefit to the cities in the first years of their existence. The same is true for the housing reform acts of 1948, 1968, and 1986. The major positive impact was felt within the urban environment and didn't even begin to hit the suburban world until 20 or so years after they were passed. What are your thoughts on the Community Reinvestment Acts?

I think you are off base when you call these subsidies. They are laws passed to benefit the majority of Americans by correcting known issues such as disparities of wealth, prejudicial lending, substandard living conditions, and gaps in the national defense. This is why I am confused by your comments, you seem to pick and choose which laws you would want passed and repealed with the benefit of 20/20 hindsight.

I still don't quite understand what you are getting at with your subsidies comment and I don't think you've done a good job of explaining yourself. It sounds like you just have a major axe to grind with the new suburbs and as someone else said you are blaming them for what has happened in the city. Think about the cause and effect dude because for every action there is an equal and opposite reaction and this goes for laws and economics too.

replied to Armchair MBA
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I completely understood Arm Chair.

The defense against housing subsidies comes from the realization that increasing ownership of homes (which in essence is admirable) will make our country quite weak because of increasing infrastructure costs. I have heard numbers into the trillions to fix the current infrastructure in the nation.
Towns typically build up their municipality with the idea that they're making money. True, they are. But overall within the metro, we're losing money. And suburbanites including myself tend to forget these costs.

Imagine how much the cost of infrastructure will be for the county alone in 25 years due to increased development.

At our current path, Buffalo Metro could be under a million people. We will have homes built with subsides for developers (which towns can use courtesy of the state and fed programs.) Clarence could be built out by 2025. Newstead and Alden will be what Clarence and Lancaster are today. Parts of Amherst and Cheektowaga will look like parts of the East Side today.

Continuing housing subsides, although home ownership is great, is not economical. It can make the local and national economies weak. Personally, I'd rather my taxes more go toward educating children and building their futures than ensuring a cul de sac for everyone and a smooth ride near a future Transitown Plaza.

replied to skybox
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Ok Greg, I understand what you are saying in regards to the cost of infrastructure, but still don't understand how the programs mentioned are truly subsidies that benefit the suburbs. In fact I would say that given your argument we should stop all subsidies going to build rental lofts because we already have an ample housing stock that sits empty and our population is declining.

The money paid to developers by the state is an actual cash subsidy that could pull residents from places like Cheektowaga and Lancaster and expedite the decline of the region. These are actual subsidies not allocated tax dollars that are spread universally by government policies.

It is starting to make more sense to me now. The issue really is the development in the suburbs and the desire to promote urban living, not the policies that must be universally applied to all tax payers even if they choose to live in the suburbs.

There is no doubt that sprawl doesn't make sense to the struggling urban core and as I said before I am not supporting sprawl at all. I just didn't understand what the term subsidy was referring to, and now I know that this refers to government spending on roads and infrastructure that you don't deem worthy of existing.

replied to Greg
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@SKYBOX> Give it up with ArmchairMBA, he is too thick headed and righteous to ever see any point other than his own. He has his mind made up that subsidies only benefit the burbs and he won't see it any other way. He blames the burbs for everything that is wrong with Buffalo. If that isn't obvious to you then there is no hope for you either. Just let it go and don't bother engaging this pig headed idiot. It just isn't worth the time or energy to try to convince someone like him that there is another side to the argument. There is only one side in his mind and that is limited to the way he sees things. No amount of facts or discussion will change that.

replied to skybox
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bobbycat> "he is too thick headed and righteous...
...pig headed idiot."

That's a lot of ill will to hold against someone you have never even met.

If you feel this strongly against someone just because because of blog comments that don't fit your way of thinking than maybe you are the one who is "limited."

If you don't like my views you are more than welcome to challenge anything I have said here with some "facts or discussion" of your own. Although it probably can be concluded from your name calling and baseless misrepresenting of my opinion that you don't have much to say.

replied to bobbycat
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Skybox> " These programs benefited the majority of people in the city..."

I'm not sure if a "majority" of city residents benefited from this but I do know there was a great deal of people who were negatively impacted by the way federal programs allocated their money. Entire city neighborhoods were denied FHA loans if the HOLC determined them to be "at risk."

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Redlining

You don't think allocating taxpayer enhanced cheap capital in certain parts of town but flat out denying it in others had, and continues to have negative consequences?

Skybox> "Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac came later to make sure that loans were being offered fairly and freely by banks and lenders among other reasons for their creation."

I think you are mistaking these agencies for something else.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fannie_Mae

They basically inflated the home buyer market by securing federal money to deflate the cost of borrowing on the open market. Keep this within the context of redlining and you will see this benefit was also not distributed evenly.

Skybox> " wonder if you are also against the G.I. Bill (etc)..."

I'm not against any of these programs in theory. I'm just pointing out the impact that they had on the way cities and towns were constructed. Just because I am finding fault with the way they were put into practice, doesn't mean I want them abolished completely.

Skybox> "I think you are off base when you call these subsidies. "

They use public resources to benefit a portion of society. How is that not a subsidy?



replied to skybox
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"The culture of WNY is a suburban one."

No wonder people keep leaving.

replied to buffalofalling
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The chart says we're already double Cleveland's portion, more than Providence, and tied with Hartford. Less than Columbus, but them being a state capital brings extra office workers who might be downtown minded.

But we're still behind Cinci, Louisville, and Pittsburgh. How to catch up and pass them?

Maybe start with some math and marketing. There probably aren't 1000's, or tens of 1000's, of residents now in our uptight boring suburbs who want to move to the city. I'd believe at any time there's at least dozens or 100's, but unlikely the many 1000's needed for a big boost of vibrancy. And we probably won't have net gain of people moving to WNY from elsewhere any time soon, so urban growth boundaries won't force anybody into downtown.

But what could be tried is to lure big numbers of residents to move downtown who already live in other parts of Buffalo. They obviously won't complain about phony issues like schools, etc.

For that target demographic, how about some creative negative advertising?

TV spots with sad music can show comparative disadvantages in traditional residential neighborhoods. For example - corner deli's all over, oversized pharmacies and other big box stores in N Bflo, smells from the zoo in Parkside, etc. And pretty much everywhere else too much un-urban green space, too much car traffic & driveways, not enough bars, not enough live theater, and so on.
After that it can show upbeat images of how downtown is better those ways.

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Whatever> "There probably aren't 1000's, or tens of 1000's, of residents now in our uptight boring suburbs who want to move to the city. I'd believe at any time there's at least dozens or 100's, but unlikely the many 1000's needed for a big boost of vibrancy"

You have made this claim repeatedly here but were never able to back it up. Have you found any evidence of this or can we still assume you pulled these figures out of thin air?

replied to whatever
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Arm - first, isn't it the pot calling the kettle black for you to grumble about anybody else's repetitiveness on here?

Second, my saying "probably" isn't a fact claim.
Each word can make a difference.

Question for you -
If there's really, right now, so many 1000s of suburbanites who'd rather live more urbanly in Buffalo... why are they still living in burbs day after day, month after month, year after year? Wouldn't most already have moved into some part of the city, even if not quite to downtown? For those who've already moved to the city, that supports my point that they aren't now in the burbs.

I can believe there's always some suburbanites who want to move to the city but who delay the move for many years, tolerating suburban surroundings they dislike while waiting for just the totally perfect unit in the city.

What I wrote is I think the number serioulsy willing to make the move any time soon *probably* isn't in the many 1000's it would take for the level of residential vibrancy some people criticize Buffalo for not having in its downtown (a lame criticism on their part of Buffalo, IMO).

If you truly disagree about the number and you really think there's many 1000's of suburbanites who'd prefer city life to suburban life but who just keep living in the burbs for some reason - great.
But isn't that just a repetitive prediction too on your part, with no more or less factual proof than mine?

Census figures coming soon will give an updated picture of city population as a portion of the county.

replied to Armchair MBA
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Who's complaining? I was just wondering if you have found anything to back up your downtown-only-draws-residents-from-the-city theory. Guess not.

Yes I noticed your trademark strategically placed back out clause "probably." Well played.

Whatever> " I can believe there's always some suburbanites who want to move to the city but who delay the move for many years, tolerating suburban surroundings they dislike while waiting for just the totally perfect unit in the city."

So as families mature, children get jobs, and parents become empty nesters they won't find the city appealing? From what I have seen many former suburbanites have moved into downtown and other city neighborhoods as their needs and lifestyle change. That may explain continued downtown residential development as well as CKDH's comment of similar developments in philly.

Here is a study on the subject done by UVA

http://www.arch.virginia.edu/~dlp/TCTSMain/TCTS/Since2000/CitiesImproveSince2000.pdf

They have identified a bump in per capita income and median owner occupied housing values relative to their metro area in 22 cities (including Buffalo). This is attributed to young singles and empty nesters preference for city living. That would explain why downtown housing development continues as values in certain city neighborhoods appreciates.


replied to whatever
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Arm>"Yes I noticed"
Noticed and tried pretending wasn't there. Great.

No doubt a lot of things happen in Philly that don't here, and vice versa. hamp's famous quote comes to mind: "Buffalo is not Flint!" I'll add: "Buffalo is not Philly!"
I'd never insult Flint, or Philly, or Buffalo - but they aren't always interchangable about everything.

Arm>"From what I have seen many former suburbanites have moved into downtown and other city neighborhoods as their needs and lifestyle change."

Yes, I said it happens sometimes here. Duh. What's a very reasonable doubt is if its enough to make a big multi-thousands net gain (you know what net means, right?) in Buffalo/city. The kind of growth that would be needed to address some people's desires for a big growth in residential vibrancy. Which of course is the context to which I responded, even though you might wish to pretend I wrote that nobody has ever or will ever move into the city. Yay for your imagination!

Tell you what -
If the Census reports that Buffalo has had a big recent net gain of city population relative to our burbs, then of course I'd say it's surprising and admit my view is mistaken. Open minded, tolerant, balanced as usual.

And if the Census doesn't show that, then I'm sure you'll return to this thread and admit (lol) that the words I actually wrote don't sound wrong after all. Fair enough?

replied to Armchair MBA
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Whatever> "No doubt a lot of things happen in Philly that don't here, and vice versa."

Based on some observations on this board and the UVA study I posted alone I'd say that the repopulating of downtown happening in Philly is happening here (on a smaller scale of course).

Whatever> "Duh."

I don't care much for your tone here. Am I provoking some anger? You shouldn't get involved in these discussions if ideas that conflict with yours get you so worked up.

Whatever> "And if the Census doesn't show that, then I'm sure you'll return to this thread and admit (lol) that the words I actually wrote don't sound wrong after all."

I won't stop there. Ill go door to door to every new unit built downtown in the past 10 years (may take a long time as there are lots of em) and tell each person who moved from the suburbs, or otherwise chose that unit over a suburban one, that they in fact moved from elsewhere within the city and remind them they should be ashamed of themselves. I will also comb EV, Hertel and other emerging parts of the city and tell those who claim to have moved from the burbs, or otherwise chose the city over the burbs, that it has scientifically been proven impossible to move in to the city.

If anybody tries to dispute this with tales of their own experiences or other "facts," I will trump all by citing the only variable that matters: overall population decline of the city at large. Never mind the supposed complexity of the issue. If the entire city is declining, it is impossible for anybody to move into it.

replied to whatever
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Arm>"Whatever> "Duh."
I don't care much for your tone here. Am I provoking some anger?"

'Duh.' looks angry and provoked to you? Really?
It's a pretty common word these days. Do you often assume people's tones are hostile simply because they disagree with you?

I'd better leave it at that if innocent little words make you ask about anger and provocation. The empty nester migration into Buffalo will either happen or it won't. We can just see what happens.

Maybe Garfield can reassure you that it's an okay word.
http://www.misterorange.com/pics/Duh_B4F4/duh2.gif

replied to Armchair MBA
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I would love to live downtown. But, a car is still necessary. If my kids were still school age, I would not consider it for a moment. Education is a serious concern to families. Un fortunately, there are not enough services or activities enough to attract me there. Cause and effect relationships can be difficult to determine in a complex argument like this. And, irrelevant. How does one get increasing services and an influx of people to occur concurrently? What comes to my mind first is the lack of a centrally located supermarket where daily living supplies can be purchased at reasonable market prices.
Has anyone mentioned safety issues? I for one would not feel comfortable walking to a store after dark in a nearly empty concrete jungle.

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I live in downtown (we call it Center City)Philadelphia, which used to be a pathetic ghost town after 5pm and starting in the late 80's, escalating in the 90's and going strong in the '00's, has become very, very lively. The influx of highrises (many are warehouse/office conversions) and restaurants seemed to go hand in hand. Just waking around today I popped into a two week old gastro pub and it was packed. It is one of about eight new places within 2 blocks over the last 12 months.

As someone that lives in an established 1920's highrise, I can tell you that the market for these buildings are being driven by empty-nesters, by far. They are done with driving everywhere, lawn maintenence and roof repairs. They often still want a car, but want a new, healthier, pedestrian lifestyle with closer access to the arts, restaurants and entertainment. The more people move in, the more businesses to cater to them will appear. Most of the people in my building used to live in the suburbs.

One of the most significant things the city did was to install stylish yet high illumination street lights in the 90's, as people feel more secure when not walking in shadows. No question about it, a big move. The best bang for the buck. I find Buffalo to be under-illuminated at night.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Center_City,_Philadelphia

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I lived in Philadelphia and the suburbs of Philly for quite a few years and agree with you about Center City. It has come a long way. I don't know if you were there when the changes were happening but there were many things that happened in Philly that maybe Buffalo could learn from.

- The Philly suburbs became too expensive for the average middle class person. The middle class had a choice to either downsize their lifestyle by moving to a townhouse or condo, or they could move further north or west of the city. People continued to expand outward from the city until it was too far and the commutes became extremely difficult.

- That leads to traffic. Traffic is horrendous on the highways and bridges. A 2 hour commute on 476 or 76 wasn't unheard of for some workers in the city. I had co-workers who would drive in daily from Wilmington Delaware or York Pennsylvania.

- That leads to the commuter taxes. The City of Philadelphia and surrounding counties agreed to a commuter tax in the early 90s. Workers who commuted to the city, but did not live there, had to pay around $1,200 a year to support the roads and bridges, the police, and other services they used but didn't directly pay for. This was a big concern for companies when it was first introduced and some companies moved from Philly to the suburbs like King of Prussia, Norristown, and Exton, but most stayed put.

- This leads to what the city of Philly did with the commuter tax money. They invested it on the city by increasing police presence in what they dubbed "no crime zones". They literally set up a perimeter around certain neighborhoods with police cars and officers on foot and bikes. They arrested anyone and everyone who didn't belong there. They illegally arrested the homeless and moved them to other parts of the city. They cleaned up graffiti and sponsored community clean-ups on the weekends. They even ran stories on the local news to tell residents what they were doing. There were complaints from several civil liberties groups but the city kept on doing what they were doing for West Philly and Center City. They closed down the soup kitchen and shelters in Center City and relocated them to SW Philly. They paid to relocate an auto dealership and tore down a few buildings that were quickly replaced.

- There were a lot of accusations of insider deals between the city and certain contractors. There were complaints of racism and oppression against minorities and the disadvantaged. There were concerns that the city didn't follow due process with demolitions and bids. There were concerns about police brutality and profiling. The city answered these with the same stoic response. They didn't really care because they were on a mission to fix certain parts of the city.

- The end result is today there is a secure and prospering area of Center City in places that used to look like Broadway or Main Street in Buffalo. The same is true in the area around UPENN. They were working on doing the same in NE around Temple when I left.

- Oh, one other thing is the school partnerships that were set-up with Temple and UPENN. There was a company that used to run Glen Mills reform school that opened two very exclusive private schools that partnered with UPENN and Thomas Jefferson. It was said that the school membership was limited to the children of wealthy suburbanites who moved back to the city. Local city kids were not accepted. This took care of the school issue in West Philly and Center City. I went to a protest about it right before I left but never looked into what became of this plan.

replied to C.K. Dexter Haven
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Do you think we should do the same things in Buffalo?

replied to Peter_Parkdale
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CK

20 years ago while on a cross country flight, I sat next to a young BofA executive who was charged with facilitating the project in Philly known as Center City. I was facsinated with the concept, but held that I didn't think it held much promise. Of course I was thinking only from the parent's point of view in terms of my children's needs.

But, it did happen! Over a long time that is. And it spread to large urban centers especially in recent years. When the Elk Lofts emerged on our local scene, I found it very exciting despite its ghost town location. Could EL been any further from services??? But, it was a start.

The collapse of the economy has sent an enormous ripple thru the lofts/conversions movement. There is now a very high rate of foreclosure and auction sales in places like Los Angeles.

Some one in a different forum suggested that if I beieved in it as much as I espoused, why don't I just go ahead and purchase one in Buffalo anyway. Be a pioneer who puts your $$$$ where his mouth is. Sorry folks, I am too old to have to defend myself. I have been relegated back to the burbs with a lovely yard my grandchildren will never enjoy. Each of my highly educated children all card carrying memebers of that Brain Drain group left for greener pastures never to return to our beloved city. But my support for this new urban way of life will continue.

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We're the only nation In the world where the richer live further from the center. Unless Buffalo has a dramatic population influx and there aren't any other options, downtown will continue to be doomed. Sure, sure there may be small strides made here and there, but it will take generations before the majority realize sprawl is destructive and move back towards the city center. This is a problem facing every American city.

To ponder why things are the way they are is silly when the reason is literally surrounding us (on 3 sides atleast)

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@James> You might want to reconsider your comment about the US being to only nation with the rich living away from the city. The same thing exists in Canada, England, The Netherlands, Germany, Belgium, and the list goes on and on.

replied to James
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Some thoughts on housing subsidies:

There are properties for sale in Buffalo. Subsidies are available for purchasing them, too. Check out SONYMA. My wife and I got one: $5000 closing cost assistance IF we stayed put for nine years. $5000 closing cost assistance (which I believe was unrelated to purchase price) makes a bigger impact on the final cost of the average city property versus the average suburban one! Thus, the subsidy is effectively greater for the city than the suburbs.

The mortgage interest deduction against the income tax is a huge subsidy program, but folks forget that it is also available to developers of multiunit properties, just like its available to developers of factories, stores, etc. A business expense (such as interest) is fully deductible against income before tax is applied. In a competitive market (like housing certainly is: Many buyers and sellers, relatively equal knowledge on the part of both, etc.), that means that the "benefit" of the deduction will be competed away and ultimately benefit the buyer of housing (which includes renters).

I rent apartments, BTW. Anyone who suggests that my tenants don't ultimately pay property taxes is a fool: If I couldn't write off property taxes as a business expense, you'd better be sure they'd be paying more in rent! (Thus they "deduct" them, same as me, except whereas I do that on Schedule E once a year, they do it monthly, on their rent checks.)

There IS an inequity in the mortgage interest deduction that irritates me, though: Taxpayers who have large mortgage interest payments get to choose standard deductions or itemized as it benefits them; taxpayers who do NOT have large mortgage interest payments (and this would include the largest number of city taxpayers, reflecting the lower purchase prices of average city properties) have no such choice. (Yes, of course this produces the most advantageous result for these taxpayers too, under current law, but read on.) I would much prefer, from a equity standpoint, a mortgage interest deduction following the standard deduction FOR EVERYONE. As this would move the needle for mostly low-income folks, it would be a subsidy to them, but not be very costly to the Treasury since the numbers are relatively small (that is, the interest paid on small mortgages coupled with the low marginal rates low income taxpayers pay). Good social policy on the cheap.

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You want Buffalo to have a vibrant downtown, well for starters we need to make this city more business friendly and we need to sell our city's downtown as a viable business location especially for corporate headquarters of large corporations looking to relocate from another city. You cannot convert every building into residential. The downtown core is the central business district not an exclusive residential district. The HSBC Tower should remain an office tower. Converting it into residential is foolhardy. The owners of HSBC Tower need to do a better job meeting the needs of HSBC Bank and their other tenants. The skyscraper is approaching 40 years of age and is in need of major upgrades. Another major point is that the City of Buffalo has been totally governed by the democratic party since 1964 and what direction has the city gone, obviously downhill. It is time to rid Buffalo city government of the democrats and their horribly failed, business unfriendly policies. It is time for a moderate GOP takeover of the City of Buffalo. A differant political party will inject fresh ideas and change the course of governance in Buffalo. Another major point is that we need to change our development patterns in WNY. Instead of permitting suburban office buildings to be built in the outer ring suburbs ie Clarence, Elma there should be emphasis and incentives to encourage business expansion and development in downtown and in other aging business districts. We also need to tell these NIMBYs that their opposition is not supported and that they need to get out of the way and let the city redesign, rebuild, and reinvent itself. You can't save everything from the past. This is what is hurting Buffalo and why most businesses and corporations shy away from the city and develop in the suburbs instead.

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The opening paragraph of this article makes a few broad and lazy assumptions. Along with many other people, I do not immediately think of "downtown" when I think of New York. I think of the neighborhoods I lived in, places where there was far more urban affection than the "official" downtown. Wherever that is. Same when living in Toronto--I think of the few charming neighborhoods where people really knew each other, not the sterile, gray "official" downtown financial area that cuts the real neighborhoods off from the water.

Second, what constitutes downtown? I now live a ten minute stroll from so-called downtown Buffalo; I don't see my neighborhood as remote from it, but a part of the city core, a more useful term than the stale "downtown."

And where are all these recent articles in newspapers bemoaning Buffalo's depression? I'd liked to see them.

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He did state in the second sentence of the first paragraph that he was referring to the Central Business District which I would posit is assumed to be "downtown." You may not think of "downtown" when you think of cities, but I would guess when you ask people about NYC they mention Times Square, not Williamsburg.

Do you find Buffalo's CBD to be acceptable in its current condition because Elmwood Village is thriving?

replied to EricOak
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I think many people would question the idea of Central Business Districts as "the hearts of their metro areas." I don't think New Yorkers see Wall Street as the heart of their metro area (nor Times Square, which is not much more than a tourist vacuum).

Maybe the body metaphor is no longer the best way to understand the meaning of a metro area. Neither are statistics. Cities don't have to have one central heart or brain, and we don't need this constant temperature-taking. I'd rather take the cities out from under the statistical microscope and let them breathe and find their way with real people who care about their imperfect neighborhoods. These places may flourish or they may fade away; it's not the end of the world. I support investment in central business areas, but I don't see their current stagnation in many American cities as the end of that city's quality or meaning. Let's improve the CBD but not cling to nervous cliches about "vibrancy" when there is so much wonderful work going on all around Buffalo, sometimes right next to the CBD.

Finally, I don't think the Elmwood Village is thriving; it needs help and work and a dose of good luck. I am worried about the transience of commercial tenants, the small range of services and the uneven aesthetic quality of that long, interesting street.

replied to nick
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Buffalo just isn't set up to thrive. I moved (back here) from DC and have lived near Lafayette Sq since August and my thoughts are as follows:

1. I truly believe 20somethings could set the city in the right direction. We're too poor to move out after college, but we can escape mom&dad's basement for a decent price (I live in a loft with a roommate for $380). There's enough of us to turn the wheel if we're all pushing in the same direction.

2. I got rid of my car because parking around here is so ridiculous. I'd rather walk. Or give me a metro that.. you know.. branches? But even if you did,

3. Where am I going to go? DC's neighborhoods are within a metro ride of each other, and they've all got a different (is it lame to say) flavor. So you can meet your friends at A and then get dinner at B. Bored? Jump back on the metro and see what's happening at C. It's less than $1.50 to ride. Boom, you're spending money all around town. It'd be nice to grab dinner in the theater district, catch a concert at the waterfront (hey, somebody reopen the Pier)and ride on over to Allentown without having to pay for gas, parking, cabs, etc. Make going out an event rather than a hassle. Who WANTS to be "tipsy".. driving.. in the slush? I'd rather stay in.

4. A few bike lanes in the CBD would be nice too.

5. Tidy this place up! Georgetown's architecture is on par with ours but theyve got clean streets, trees and flowers. When's the last time you think they power washed some of those buildings on Main? Sure it cant be springtime year round, but I think a little investment in sprucing would go a long way to improve everyone's attitude about having to look at this city's ugly mug.

6. Start hiring kids to update these old buildings for energy efficiency. I canvassed for wind farms along the waterfront (for one day, it was terrible) in Orchard Park and some lady told me she was "against them bc theyre ugly." Uglier than a coal plant? Uglier than your energy bill? Uglier than that frack water they're dumping in the water system? Plus, you live in Orchard Park. How often are you looking? (

5. Give me a flippin bike lane.

And just a note to the folks talking about housing and education in the burbs. Thing about that is, when you fill up a space with housing development after housing development, you leave little room for culture so you get a concentration of bored, self-absorbed white kids shooting heroine and lacking any worldly sense(I grew up in Lancaster). Central Ave in Lanc is dead too, regardless of the population density. We've gotta find a healthy balance downtown.

so, yeah.. I vote for infrastructure.

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Well said.

replied to hubera06
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Saying that the city has an "ugly mug" is not constructive...or fair. I'm surprised you missed the flowers, trees and benches that have gone up on Main Street (Tupper to Edward especially), lower Delaware, the Marina, plus the benches, flowers and trees in Niagara Sq. and Lafayette Sq. that have been biding time for decades. I love to sit there; it's beautiful, and there are beautiful buildings to look at. One even feels grateful when you realize Buffalo doesn't have the thick umbilical cord to federal money that keeps some parts of D.C.so plump and pristine. Just saying.

But the problems of the CBD won't be helped much by bike lanes or washing or even a few more metro stops until there are more people who really, deeply need those things. They are pleasant ideas, but they don't dent the fact that Buffalo's "CBD" is not what it was when Buffalo had twice as many people and businesses inside the city lines. Amenities like the ones you describe are nice, but the need has to precede the product, I think. This is not a case where, if we just the set the table, they'll all come to dinner. Right now, it's the neighborhoods surrounding the downtown core that have enough layers of people to get gardens, bike lanes, and cleanups. And those come mostly from neighborhood associations, not the city.

replied to hubera06
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Well said, Eric.

I'd add that the pic with this article shows there's already at least some bike lanes downtown. That looks like the 700- block.

replied to EricOak
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Just a lurker - never leave comments, but damn hubera06 - I'm with you!!! Great stuff. Spot on, really.

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If UB 2020 actually happens..... 1000 college students living in and near downtown would have a huge effect. College kids blow mom and dad's money and don't worry about stereotypes of areas...

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